You make most of your money in a bear market; you just don’t realize it at the time. -Famed value investor Shelby Davis. The COVID19 induced market panic led to the quickest Bear Market (loosely defined as a drop of… Read More
Coronavirus Risk and Your Portfolio
If you have been following the news over the last few weeks, then by now you are aware that 1) there is a novel coronavirus spreading around the globe, and 2) global stock markets have been selling off as a… Read More
Predicting the Past
AMM First Quarter 2020 Client Letter A few years ago we attended the Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) Society’s annual forecast dinner in San Diego. Attendees were a group of mostly professional analysts charged each year with the task of predicting… Read More
Investing Should Be Boring
AMM 4th Quarter 2019 Client Letter Investing is by default a boring exercise. Buying a stock and checking the share price 4 times a day to see how much money you are making (or not) might be fun, but it’s… Read More
AMM Dividend Letter 41: How Brewing Beer is Like Investing and Intuit (INTU)
Brewing beer is a simple recipe. Water Malt Yeast Hops First, mill grains to break up the kernels. Then steep the grains in hot water to turn its starches into sugar. The result is a sweet liquid called wort. Then… Read More
20 Years Investing with The Market Cycle
AMM Third Quarter 2019 Client Letter “History doesn’t repeat itself, but it often rhymes.” – Attributed to Mark Twain This summer marks the 20th anniversary of AMM! And, while we are not marking the occasion with much fanfare, it does… Read More
Investing in the Zone of Anxiety
AMM Second Quarter 2019 Client Letter Anyone who has even casually sought investment advice has likely heard the adage “invest for the long-term”. It’s probably the most commonly dispensed piece of investment advice – right up there with “don’t put… Read More
AMM Dividend Letter 39: Proving Yourself Wrong & eBay
Suppose the next time we see you we lay out the following 4 cards in front of you like this. Then we give you the following statement. If a card has a vowel on one side then it has an… Read More
AMM Dividend Letter 38: Loss Aversion, Fear, and Starbucks
We’re going to flip a coin one time. If the coin lands on heads then you win $200. But it the coin lands on tails you lose $100. Are you willing to play this game? If you’re like most people… Read More
Welcome Back Volatility
AMM First Quarter 2019 Client Letter The 4th quarter of 2018 saw one of the largest jumps in volatility in years. The reasons for the volatility are now widely “known”. Political uncertainty, trade uncertainty, fears of a policy error by… Read More
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