The Big Picture – Staying Invested We are strong adherents of the KISS (“keep it simple stupid”) philosophy when it comes to investing. Focus on a few things that matter: prudent asset allocation, quality of earnings and dividend growth, competitive… Read More
Signal vs Noise – Q4 2021 Client Letter
Investing, by definition, is a long-term endeavor. But investing for the long-term means staying focused through periods of short-term volatility, and frequently negative news flow. As the old saying in media goes, “if it bleeds, it leads”. Big down days… Read More
Invest Like Astronaut John Glenn
You’re sitting inside the cockpit of a converted ICBM missile about to be launched into space. The last 7 times NASA test launched this rocket it was a success, but the first 20 test launches had a 45% failure rate…. Read More
The Nobel Prize Winner vs. The Secretary
In 1994 a legendary wall street bond trader launched a new hedge fund with $1 billion in assets, recruiting several top traders, two future Nobel prize winners and several PhD’s from MIT. In its first three years the fund posted… Read More
Roadmap to Retirement: Create a Financial Plan with Confidence
Uncertainty surrounding the answer to the question, “Will I have enough?” is a large source of anxiety for many people nearing retirement age. Even exceptional savers often wonder if they will have enough, if their level of spending is sustainable,… Read More
Northrop Grumman: Nuclear Dividend Growth
The defense sector consistently generates high returns on equity and invested capital and Northrop Grumman is no exception. And the defense sector has a history of consistently returning large amounts of capital back to its shareholders. Over the last 10… Read More
The Roaring 20s
The Covid19 induced recession of 2020 led to the strongest fiscal and monetary policy response in history. The stimulus was global in nature, and has likely set the world up for a significant boost to growth in the years to… Read More
Price (Still) Matters
Looking back over the last year reminds us why our 5th and final core investment principle is: “you cannot predict the future”. Hindsight analysis suggests the Federal Reserve induced liquidity, low interest rates, and massive fiscal stimulus were the reason… Read More
The Financial Impact of Low Interest Rates
Perhaps no picture better represents the financial impact of Covid than that of the 10-year Treasury yield. While rates have remained below 3% for most of the last decade, the post Covid drop below 1% for the first time ever… Read More
Bull Market, Bear Economy
AMM 3rd Quarter 2020 Client Letter Imagine a modern day Rip Van Winkle had imbibed a bit too much on New Year’s Eve 2019 and fell into a long 6 month slumber. He awakens to a strange new world. People… Read More
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