In 1994 a legendary wall street bond trader launched a new hedge fund with $1 billion in assets, recruiting several top traders, two future Nobel prize winners and several PhD’s from MIT. In its first three years the fund posted… Read More
The Roaring 20s
The Covid19 induced recession of 2020 led to the strongest fiscal and monetary policy response in history. The stimulus was global in nature, and has likely set the world up for a significant boost to growth in the years to… Read More
Price (Still) Matters
Looking back over the last year reminds us why our 5th and final core investment principle is: “you cannot predict the future”. Hindsight analysis suggests the Federal Reserve induced liquidity, low interest rates, and massive fiscal stimulus were the reason… Read More
The Financial Impact of Low Interest Rates
Perhaps no picture better represents the financial impact of Covid than that of the 10-year Treasury yield. While rates have remained below 3% for most of the last decade, the post Covid drop below 1% for the first time ever… Read More
Bull Market, Bear Economy
AMM 3rd Quarter 2020 Client Letter Imagine a modern day Rip Van Winkle had imbibed a bit too much on New Year’s Eve 2019 and fell into a long 6 month slumber. He awakens to a strange new world. People… Read More
A Real Bear Market
You make most of your money in a bear market; you just don’t realize it at the time. -Famed value investor Shelby Davis. The COVID19 induced market panic led to the quickest Bear Market (loosely defined as a drop of… Read More
Predicting the Past
AMM First Quarter 2020 Client Letter A few years ago we attended the Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) Society’s annual forecast dinner in San Diego. Attendees were a group of mostly professional analysts charged each year with the task of predicting… Read More
Investing Should Be Boring
AMM 4th Quarter 2019 Client Letter Investing is by default a boring exercise. Buying a stock and checking the share price 4 times a day to see how much money you are making (or not) might be fun, but it’s… Read More
20 Years Investing with The Market Cycle
AMM Third Quarter 2019 Client Letter “History doesn’t repeat itself, but it often rhymes.” – Attributed to Mark Twain This summer marks the 20th anniversary of AMM! And, while we are not marking the occasion with much fanfare, it does… Read More
Investing in the Zone of Anxiety
AMM Second Quarter 2019 Client Letter Anyone who has even casually sought investment advice has likely heard the adage “invest for the long-term”. It’s probably the most commonly dispensed piece of investment advice – right up there with “don’t put… Read More